Carbon Black and Lung Cancer-Testing a Novel Exposure Metric by Multi-Model Inference

Morfeld, P; Mccunney, RJ

HERO ID

3087613

Reference Type

Journal Article

Year

2009

Language

English

PMID

19753595

HERO ID 3087613
In Press No
Year 2009
Title Carbon Black and Lung Cancer-Testing a Novel Exposure Metric by Multi-Model Inference
Authors Morfeld, P; Mccunney, RJ
Journal American Journal of Industrial Medicine
Volume 52
Issue 11
Page Numbers 890-899
Abstract Background In a recent analysis of a UK cohort Sorahan and Harrington [2007: Am J Ind Med 50: 555-564] assessed the most recent 15 years of exposure ("lugging") to support their hypothesis that carbon black acts as a late stage lung carcinogen. We tested this metric in a German cohort of 1,528 carbon black workers. <br> <br>Methods We used a multi-model Cox regression approach (720 models) to explore the impact of duration and cumulative exposure to carbon black "lugged" by 0, 5, 10, 15, and 20 years. This approach covered four sub-cohorts, including an inception cohort, different exposure scenarios and varying combinations of confounders. <br> <br>Results Seven hundred nineteen models returned negative coefficients. Only one model estimated a small positive, but clearly non-significant coefficient (P = 0.8). <br> <br>Conclusions Despite extensive searching, no exposure scenario suggested an adverse effect of "lugged" carbon black exposure on lung cancer mortality Our analysis does not support the hypothesis of carbon black being a late stage carcinogen. Am. J. Ind. Med. 52:890-899, 2009. (C) 2009 Wiley-Liss, Inc.
Doi 10.1002/ajim.20754
Pmid 19753595
Wosid WOS:000271302800008
Is Certified Translation No
Dupe Override No
Is Public Yes
Language Text English
Keyword carbon black; cohort study; lung cancer; lugging; multi-model approach